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Forecasting production and area under cultivation for pulses in India using ARIMA model Kumar Gagan* Department of Economics, SLK College (BRA Bihar University), Sitamarhi-843302, Bihar, India *Email for correspondence: gaganks_slk@yahoo.in
Online published on 25 July, 2018. Abstract The availability of pulses in India has been inadequate. Every year India has to import about 3.5 million tonnes of pulses for domestic consumption. Pulses are the main source of protein for the common man. Due to erratic production and prices shoot up the pulses go beyond the reach of the poor. Both area and production of pulses have to go up in order to meet the demand. In this article an attempt has been made to forecast the area under cultivation as well as the production level of pulses in near future with the help of ARIMA model using annual data from 1950–51 to 2013–14. Top Keywords Autoregressive, auto-correlation function, partial auto-correlation function, stationarity. Top | |
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