Causal Relationship between Gold Price and Nifty – An Empirical Study in Indian Context Sreekanth D, Assistant Professor, Dr. Veni L. Krishna, Professor Siva Sivani Institute of Management, Secunderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India Abstract The main objective of this study is to examine the casual relationship between gold prices and National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. For this purpose Ahmadabad based 10 gram gold prices and NIFTY have been considered from 2005 to 2013. Several econometric tools like Augmented Dikey Fuller Test (ADF), Phillips-Perron(PP) test, Johansen Cointegration test, Vector Errror Correction Model (VECM), Wald's Coefficient Diagnosis, Residual Analysis and test for Granger Causality have been used. ADF and PP tests have proved that the data is stationary at level. The results of Cointegration test disclose that the gold prices and NIFTY are cointegrated in long run. In further analysis VECM, Wald's Coefficient Diagnosis, Residual Analysis revealed that gold prices and NIFTY are in equilibrium in short run and long run, indicating that gold prices are sufficient to explain the moments of NIFTY in short run and long run. Finally the results of Granger Causality test confirms that the long run causality flows from gold prices to NIFTY Top Keywords Gold Prices, NIFTY, Sationarity, Johansen – Julius Cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Granger Cauaslity. Top |