Forecasting of rice exports from Punjab – An application of arima model Kaur Gurpreet*, Dr Dham Jasdeep Kaur** *Research Student, Faculty of Business and Applied Arts, School of Commerce and Economics, Lovely Professional University, Phagwara, Punjab, India **Faculty of Business and Applied Arts, AP School of Commerce and Economics, Lovely Professional University, Phagwara, Punjab, India Online published on 9 August, 2013. Abstract The main aim of this paper is to forecast rice exports from Punjab with the help of ARIMA model. Data analyzed in this paper is yearly exports from Punjab in Rupees Crore from 1996–97 till 2009–2010. Punjab can export goods worth 6172.92 Rupees Crore in 2019–20. Thus, based on Punjab's actual exports, there exists a scope for her exports in future. Therefore, efforts at the international level are required to be made to increase the exports to earn a fair name for Punjab in the world trade. Punjab is basically an agriculture economy and the potential can be utilized. Top Keywords ARIMA, Forecasting, Exports, Rice, International Trade. Top |