Agricultural Economics Research Review
Year : 2012, Volume : 25, Issue : conf
First page : ( 534) Last page : ( 534)
Print ISSN : 0971-3441. Online ISSN : 0974-0279.

Growth Performance and Fluctuations in Output of Selected Crops in Odisha: A District Level Analysis

Senapati Asis Kumar, Goyari Phanindra

Department of Economics, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh

Online published on 9 October, 2012.

Abstract

The growth, instability and fluctuations in crop output have been examined with respect to climate variability, particularly rainfall, of major crops both at the aggregate and disaggregate level of Odisha. The study has been carried out using the secondary data for the period 1965–66 to 2010–11, which was divided into two phases: Phase I (1965–66 to 1987–88) and phase II (1988–89 to 2010–11). The growth rate of crop output of 10 crops taken together has been found dismal due to decrease in area in phase II and lower use of fertilizers and HYVs. The instability analysis has revealed that green revolution technology had a mixed impact on the variability of area, production, and yield of major crops. The Z-test has confirmed that there exists a significant difference between co-efficients of variation for most of the crops in different districts of the state. The regression analysis has shown that instability was causing growth rate negatively in phase II of technology adoption. The study has concluded that sensitivity of crop output to the rainfall variability has been noticeable in almost all crops in phase II than in phase I of green revolution for all districts. In other words, crop output in various districts of Odisha is highly vulnerable to the climate variability.

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Keywords

Agricultural growth, production variability, weather uncertainty, growth performance, Odisha.

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